Tuesday, April 22, 2008

2008 NFL Mock Draft Version 7.0

OK here is is. My final mock draft. I do not have any first round commentary on this one. We all know the team needs by now. A lot of things could change between now and Saturday at 3pm. I may not be able to do an update due to traveling this weekend (don't worry I am still watching the entire draft). If anything big happens before noon Friday I will hopefully issue a 7.5 update. No promises.

Below the three round mock are a few comments I make on my picks. This mock does not include trades, which are bound to throw a wrench into the works. If you have individual questions or comments leave them below. Hopefully I didn't forget anyone. Without further ado, here is my 2008 NFL Mock Draft, Version 7.0...


Pick

Team

Player, Position, School

1
Miami Dolphins
Chris Long, DE/OLB, Virginia

2

St. Louis Rams

Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU

3

Atlanta Falcons

Jake Long, OT, Michigan

4

Oakland Raiders

Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB, Ohio State

5

Kansas City Chiefs

Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC

6

New York Jets

Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas

7

New England Patriots
(from San Francisco)

Branden Albert, OG, Virginia

8

Baltimore Ravens

Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College

9

Cincinnati Bengals

Derrick Harvey, DE, Florida

10

New Orleans Saints

Keith Rivers, LB, USC

11

Buffalo Bills

Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy

12

Denver Broncos

Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt

13

Carolina Panthers

Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State

14

Chicago Bears

Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh

15

Detroit Lions

Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois

16

Arizona Cardinals

Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee State

17

Minnesota Vikings

Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson

18

Houston Texans

Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida

19

Philadelphia Eagles

Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan State

20

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Limas Sweed, WR, Texas

21

Washington Redskins

James Hardy, WR, Indiana

22

Dallas Cowboys
(from Cleveland)

Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon

23

Pittsburgh Steelers

Gosder Cherilus, OT, Boston College

24

Tennessee Titans

Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma

25

Seattle Seahawks

Kentwan Balmer, DT, North Carolina

26

Jacksonville Jaguars

Calais Campbell, DE, Miami (FL)

27

San Diego Chargers

Jerod Mayo, LB, Tennessee

28

Dallas Cowboys

DeSean Jackson, WR, California

29

San Francisco 49ers
(from Indianapolis)

Kenny Phillips, FS, Miami (FL)

30

Green Bay Packers

Sam Baker, OT, USC

31

New England Patriots

FORFEITED

32

New York Giants

Dan Connor, LB, Penn State

---
ROUND 2
-----

33

Miami Dolphins

Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas

34

St. Louis Rams

Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC

35

Atlanta Falcons
(from Oakland)

Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville

36

Kansas City Chiefs

Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware

37

New York Jets

Curtis Lofton, LB, Oklahoma

38

Atlanta Falcons

Trevor Laws, DT, Notre Dame

39

Baltimore Ravens

Reggie Smith, CB, Oklahoma

40

San Francisco 49ers

Quentin Groves, DE/OLB, Auburn

41

New Orleans Saints

Dustin Keller, TE, Purdue

42

Buffalo Bills

Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan

43

Denver Broncos

Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida

44

Carolina Panthers

Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas

45

Chicago Bears

Chad Henne, QB, Michigan

46

Detroit Lions

Erin Henderson, LB, Maryland

47

Cincinnati Bengals

Martellus Bennett, TE, Texas A&M

48

Minnesota Vikings

Earl Doucet, WR, LSU

49

Atlanta Falcons
(from Houston)

Brandon Flowers, CB, Virginia Tech

50

Philadelphia Eagles

DaJuan Morgan, FS, N.C. State

51

Arizona Cardinals

Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas

52

Washington Redskins

Pat Sims, DT, Auburn

53

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona

54

Pittsburgh Steelers

Dre Moore, DT, Maryland

55

Tennessee Titans

Chilo Rachal, OG, USC

56

Seattle Seahawks

Jordy Nelson, WR, Kansas State

57

Green Bay Packers
(from Cleveland)

Fred Davis, TE, USC

58

Miami Dolphins (from San Diego)

Earl Bennett, WR, Vanderbilt

59

Jacksonville Jaguars

Mike Pollak, OC, Arizona State

60

Indianapolis Colts

Xavier Adibi, LB, Virginia Tech

61

Green Bay Packers

Justin King, CB, Penn State

62

Dallas Cowboys

Tracy Porter, CB, Indiana

63

New England Patriots

Cliff Avril, DE/OLB, Purdue

64

New York Giants

Tyrell Johnson, SS, Arkansas State

---
ROUND 3
-----

65

Miami Dolphins

Duane Brown, OT, Virginia Tech

66

St. Louis Rams

Eddie Royal, WR, Virginia Tech

67

Kansas City Chiefs

Carl Nicks, OT, Nebraska

68

Carolina Panthers
(from NY Jets)

John Carlson, TE, Notre Dame

69

Atlanta Falcons

Tavares Gooden, LB, Miami (FL)

70

New England Patriots
(from Oakland)

Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa

71

Chicago Bears
(from San Francisco)

Ray Rice, RB, Rutgers

72

Jacksonville Jaguars
(from Baltimore via Buffalo)

Josh Barrett, SS, Arizona State

73

Buffalo Bills

Matt Forte, RB, Tulane

74

Minnesota Vikings
(from Denver)

Andre Woodson, QB, Kentucky

75

Carolina Panthers

Red Bryant, DT, Texas A&M

76

San Francisco 49ers
(from Chicago)

Roy Schuening, OG, Oregon State

77

Detroit Lions

Jason Jones, DE, Eastern Michigan

78

Cincinnati Bengals

Donnie Avery, WR, Houston

79

New Orleans Saints

Terrell Thomas, CB, USC

80

Houston Texans

Chris Johnson, RB, East Carolina

81

Philadelphia Eagles

Brad Cottam, TE, Tennessee

82

Arizona Cardinals

Shawn Crable, DE/OLB, Michigan

83

Minnesota Vikings

Oniel Cousins, OT, UTEP

84

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jeremy Thompson, DE, Wake Forest

85

Washington Redskins

Anthony Collins, OT, Kansas

86

Tennessee Titans

Ahtyba Rubin, DT, Iowa State

87

Seattle Seahawks

Chris Ellis, DE, Virginia Tech

88

Detroit Lions
(from Cleveland)

Patrick Lee, CB, Auburn

89

Pittsburgh Steelers

Tashard Choice, RB, Georgia Tech

90

Jacksonville Jaguars

John Greco, OT, Toledo

91

Chicago Bears
(from San Diego)

Jerome Simpson, WR, Coastal Carolina

92

Green Bay Packers

Kevin Smith, RB, Central Florida

93

Dallas Cowboys

Tyvon Branch, CB, Connecticut

94

Indianapolis Colts

Andre Fluellen, DT, Florida State

95

New England Patriots

Marcus Harrison, NT, Arkansas

96

New York Giants

Geno Hayes, LB, Florida State

97

Washington Redskins
(Compensatory)

Thomas DeCoud, FS, California

98

Cincinnati Bengals
(Compensatory)

Darrell Robertson, DE, Georgia Tech

99

Atlanta Falcons
(Compensatory)

Ali Highsmith, LB, LSU

100

Baltimore Ravens
(Compensatory)

Dexter Jackson, WR, Appalachian State



My comments:
  1. Matt Ryan could easily fall out of the top 10. There are numerous scouts and team executives that believe the same thing I do: Ryan is overrated because of a weak class. If he were in the 2007 class he wouldn't have a shot of going before picks 25-35, at the earliest. Ryan won't drop past 17 but could make it there. Minnesota would love that if it fixed its other problem
  2. That other problem (for Minnesota) is a pass rush. Despite spending a few first round picks on DEs, things haven't worked out for many reasons. If the Vikings acquire Jared Allen (or think they can after the draft) it will shake up the first round big time. If the Vikings get Allen prior to the draft then Minnesota will (most likely) have sent their 1st round and a 2nd or 3rd round pick to Kansas City. If they wait until after the draft to sign Allen, they will give up 1st round picks in 2009 and 2010. This would allow the Vikings, for example, to trade their 1st, 2nd, and 5th round picks this year to move up to draft a falling Matt Ryan (just one possibility).
  3. I am fully aware that my team, the Dolphins, are in deep negotiations with Jake Long. That doesn't mean they will go with him. Maybe I am letting my personal feelings interfere here but I think Chris Long is the dominant player in this draft, more so than Darren McFadden (who is a little bit overrated in my opinion). Parcells and Co. need an OT, no doubt about that. But they need an RT, not an LT. If you take Long that means Vernon Carey will be moved back to RT. He is a free agent after this season. Since Carey proved he can play LT well he will be offered money to play LT somewhere else. The Dolphins can't afford to match LT money for a player they have at RT. SO we lose Carey in a year and are back to square one. Pass on Jake and take Gosder Cherilus or Sam Baker at 33 (technically 32, haha Patriots).
  4. I have Chris Williams going to the Broncos over Ryan Clady and Jeff Otah because Williams is a better fit for the Broncos zone-blocking scheme. Clady, and possibly Otah, are considered slightly better prospects but don't fit into Denver's scheme as well.
  5. If the Vikings get Jared Allen (or plan to sign him after the draft) then they won't take Merling. As I said before they could package some picks and move up to sneak ahead of the Ravens to take Ryan. The Jets or Patriots would love to trade down. My money would be on New England getting Minnesota's 1st, 2nd, and 5th round picks.
  6. If the Falcons play their card right they will be the most improved team in this draft. There is no need to reach for Matt Ryan at 3. Take Dorsey or Jake Long (if available) or trade back (with Baltimore?). Doing that would give the Falcons even more picks in the first few rounds.
  7. What will be the first team to reach for a player? Possibly Kansas City (for Albert or Clady) but I'll go with Cincinnati. Just think they could do something dumb. Not quite as dumb as taking Ted Ginn at #9 but pretty dumb.
  8. Who won't pick in round one (besides Indianapolis and Cleveland)? San Diego. They want out of that spot and need a second or third round pick. They will trade out.
  9. Most Overrated player in the draft: Matt Ryan or Darren McFadden.
  10. Most Underrated player in the draft: Brian Brohm or Dan Connor.
That's it for me. I may be back with a minor update in a day or two. Remember, the draft is SATURDAY at 3pm on ESPN. Don't miss it!

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